Villar cuts Aquino's lead in new SWS poll!

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Labels: Manny Villar, Noynoy Aquino, Presidential Candidates, SWS Survey

Without Chiz and Noli, Villar gains 7%, Erap up 4%
MANILA, Philippines - A BusinessWorld-Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey released on Tuesday has come up with similar findings as the Pulse Asia polls which showed Senator Manny Villar and Joseph Estrada gaining significant points in the presidential race, although frontrunner Sen. Benigno Aquino III still has a big lead with 5 months left before the elections.

From a list of 11 presidential candidates in the Businessworld-SWS Pre-Election Survey conducted from December 5 to 10, Aquino was preferred by 46% of 2,100 respondents, Villar was chosen by 27%, and Estrada was picked by 16%.

In the November 4-8 SWS survey with 1,200 voter-respondents, Aquino was chosen by 47%, Villar got 20%, and Estrada got 12%.

Without Senator Francis Escudero and Vice-President Noli de Castro in the December 5-10 survey, Aquino's rating was statistically the same as in the November 4-8 survey, while Villar's went up from 20% to 27%, a gain of 7%.

Estrada's rating went up from 12% in November 4-8 to 16% in the December 5-10 survey of SWS.

Villar was thus able to cut Aquino's lead from 27% in November 4-8 to 19% in December 5-10.

Administration candidate Gilbert Teodoro was picked by 5% of respondents in December from 3% in November.

Bro. Eddie Villanueva and Sen. Richard Gordon each got 1% preference in December.

"Jamby Madrigal (0.2%), Oliver Lozano (0.1%), Mario Crespo (0.1%), John Carlos delos Reyes (0.1%), and Jesus Nicanor Perlas (0.03%) each obtained fractional numbers. Four percent could not give an answer," the SWS said.

BusinessWorld-SWS partnership

The December 5-8 SWS survey was commissioned by BusinessWorld under the "BW-SWS Partnership in 2009-2010 Pre-Election Surveys." BusinessWorld has exclusive right to be the first to print or publicly disclose the survey.

"The exclusion of candidates from the lists used in the survey was the judgment call of BusinessWorld," SWS said in its media release.

In the December 5-8 survey, respondents were asked: “Sa mga sumusunod na pangalan sa listahang ito, sino po ang malamang ninyong iboboto bilang PRESIDENTE ng Pilipinas, kung ang eleksyon ay gaganapin ngayon?” [Among the names found in this list, who will you probably vote for as PRESIDENT of the Philippines, if elections were held today?]."

The SWS said "the respondents were furnished with a BusinessWorld-approved list of 11 candidates to choose from, and gave their answers orally."

The SWS said "all lists were in alphabetical order, and included nicknames, as practiced by the Commission on Elections on election day."

From a list of 8 vice-presidential candidates in the survey, Senator Manuel Roxas was chosen by 43% while Sen. Loren Legarda got 32%, Jejomar Binay was picked b y 3%, and administration bet Edu Manzano and former Metropolitan Manila Development Authority (MMDA) Chairman Bayani Fernando got 2% support each.

"Jose Sonza (0.3%) and Perfecto Yasay (0.1%) each scored fractionally. None of the respondents in the 2009 survey chose Dominador Chipeco, Jr.," the SWS said.

The Businessworld-SWS December 5-10, 2009 survey used face-to-face interviews of 2,100 adults. It had an error margin of ±2.2%. "The national estimate was obtained by using area estimates weighted by National Statistics Office medium-population projections for 2009," the SWS said.

Source: abs-cbnNWES.com